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From MAD logic to nuclear blasts you can l~
Fra : steen hjortsoe


Dato : 29-12-08 08:22


Pondering on the biblical suggestion that the imminent nuclear war =
Doomsday will start in Jerusalem I asked myself: why don’t they nuke
Tel Aviv instead ?

Tel Aviv is an all-Jewish city, Jerusalem is not.

The Answer I found is that nuclear weapons will probably only be
applied against Israel if the decision-makers consider they have a
reasonable chance of evading the MAD logic, i.e. if the nuclear
assault on Israel could be conceived so small and selective – kind of
fair retribution for the selective destruction of Beirut in the summer
of 2006 as it were – that Israel might hesitate to give an all-out
nuclear reply.

So I expect that before long some state/non-state actor in the Middle-
East will attempt to detonate a small low-yield nuclear weapon in the
Jewish part of Jerusalem.

Steen Hjortsoe


 
 
Jesper (29-12-2008)
Kommentar
Fra : Jesper


Dato : 29-12-08 17:22

steen hjortsoe <steenhjortsoe@gmail.com> wrote:

> Pondering on the biblical suggestion that the imminent nuclear war =
> Doomsday will start in Jerusalem I asked myself: why don't they nuke
> Tel Aviv instead ?
>
> Tel Aviv is an all-Jewish city, Jerusalem is not.
>
> The Answer I found is that nuclear weapons will probably only be
> applied against Israel if the decision-makers consider they have a
> reasonable chance of evading the MAD logic, i.e. if the nuclear
> assault on Israel could be conceived so small and selective – kind of
> fair retribution for the selective destruction of Beirut in the summer
> of 2006 as it were – that Israel might hesitate to give an all-out
> nuclear reply.
>
> So I expect that before long some state/non-state actor in the Middle-
> East will attempt to detonate a small low-yield nuclear weapon in the
> Jewish part of Jerusalem.
>
> Steen Hjortsoe

Jeg tror den gamle hat er slidt om, du trænger til en ny:
http://zapatopi.net/afdb/
--
Jesper
A dollar in aid to the third world not spend on
family planning is a dollar wasted!
htp://theextract.blogspot.com/

@ (29-12-2008)
Kommentar
Fra : @


Dato : 29-12-08 20:34

On Mon, 29 Dec 2008 17:21:37 +0100, spambuster@users.toughguy.net
(Jesper) wrote:

>steen hjortsoe <steenhjortsoe@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>> Pondering on the biblical suggestion that the imminent nuclear war =
>> Doomsday will start in Jerusalem I asked myself: why don't they nuke
>> Tel Aviv instead ?
>>
>> Tel Aviv is an all-Jewish city, Jerusalem is not.
>>
>> The Answer I found is that nuclear weapons will probably only be
>> applied against Israel if the decision-makers consider they have a
>> reasonable chance of evading the MAD logic, i.e. if the nuclear
>> assault on Israel could be conceived so small and selective – kind of
>> fair retribution for the selective destruction of Beirut in the summer
>> of 2006 as it were – that Israel might hesitate to give an all-out
>> nuclear reply.
>>
>> So I expect that before long some state/non-state actor in the Middle-
>> East will attempt to detonate a small low-yield nuclear weapon in the
>> Jewish part of Jerusalem.
>>
>> Steen Hjortsoe
>
>Jeg tror den gamle hat er slidt om, du trænger til en ny:
>http://zapatopi.net/afdb/


og en til katten osse

http://blogs.sfweekly.com/thesnitch/tin_foil.jpg


--
If you want to make peace, you don't talk to your friends.
You talk to your enemies.
/Moshe Dayan/

Tim (29-12-2008)
Kommentar
Fra : Tim


Dato : 29-12-08 22:46

"steen hjortsoe" <steenhjortsoe@gmail.com> wrote in message
news:1650ac9f-a452-4aaf-be16-d9a25f65cca2@r36g2000prf.googlegroups.com...


Steen.

Jeg er nødt til at spørge: Hvor bliver den dommedag nu af, som du i flere år
har spået ville komme 'næste år'?

Du ved... det der med en masse simultane atombomber, tidsrejser og deslige?

/Tim



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